Predicting start-up success with Google trends

The NYT published an article today on "Which start-up could be the next big thing?" Of course, who really knows. The NYT basically appears to be looking at "buzz." But what we would really want is some forecast of potential demand. This is where Google trends becomes useful. For instance, the NYT considers SnapChat and Whatsapp as two potential contenders. Both …

How to paywall: ESPN Version

Just a pointed to an interesting new paper by Anja Lambrecht and Kanishka Misra who examine ESPN's online paywall. Plummeting advertising revenues have lead many online content providers to experiment with additional sources of revenues. Most often, firms aim to compensate for a loss in advertising revenues by charging consumers for access to online content. …

Information and the AEA Elections

Over at the Freakonomics blog, I have a short essay arguing that the AEA should consider providing more information about candidates for its officer elections. It may be of some interest to readers of this blog.